Better Odds: Shotgun Strategy

When you don't know the odds, play a lot of hands.

A few posts back, I wrote about the uncertainty of quality that comes from non-obvious ideation prompts. To recap very quickly, there tends to be limited scope for both great and terrible ideas within the obvious way of looking at a challenge, and the average quality of ideas is much more predictable within that obvious mental model.

I sketched out the f…